Update: Erin has been downgraded to a depression. No immediate strengthening is expected, but as the storm approaches the US coast this could change.
Last night there were two likely tropical storms in the making. Morning revealed that only one managed to make the transition. The disturbance just outside the Gulf of Mexico became disorganized overnight, and as a result all NOAA flights scheduled for it have been cancelled. But in the Atlantic the other storm strengthened as expected and officially became TS ERIN.
The current advisory from the National Hurricane Center on ERIN:
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.5 WEST. ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERIN WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM... MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.